Climate Change and Poverty Working Paper
POSTED May 17, 2023|
Climate and Environmental Protection
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Building on previous RTAC research, this working paper analyzes the impacts of climate change on future levels of poverty across various income scenarios and thresholds. Utilizing the International Futures (IFs) model, this paper draws on representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios that model alternative patterns of temperature change at a national level using established damage functions operationalized within the International Futures (IFs) tool. Based on findings, an RCP6.0 scenario projects that by 2100, more than 31 percent of the world population will be living in extreme poverty due to climate change, another 28 percent are projected to be living in poverty, and another 22 percent in moderate poverty.